Ann Coulter, the mouth(?)piece for the president’s 2020 campaign, has made it clear what Trumpism is about, and the stark choice presented in 2020 (TGI Forum, Dec. 14, A National View).
Trump stands for “the modern American white male,” which Ann hails as the “most gentle, protective, chivalrous creature God has ever created.” While sex crimes are otherwise rampant, sexual fetishes and abuse of underage women by white males has “happened NEVER,” says Coulter (overlooking Jeffrey Epstein, Tim Nolan, Harvey Weinstein, Richard Strauss, Larry Nassar, Thomas Incantalupo, Catholic Church pederasty scandal, David Carpenter, William French Anderson, John Burt, Jeffrey Dahlmer, Michael J. Devlin, George Feigley, Jared Fogel, Will Hayden, etc., etc.).
Trump is the bulwark protecting those gentle white creatures against other darker (in skin and deed) races, which are “child-rape-happy cultures.” Actual and thwarted immigrants are “child kidnappers and child molesters.” Ann says that although “(i)ncest and child rape are not native American habits,” immigrants come from “primitive, peasant cultures” whose “hallmark” includes not only those behaviors but “(b)estial behavior towards women and children” as well.
This would simply be overt ugly racism, unless the statistics established disproportionate immigrant criminality as a fact. Let’s look.
Border state Texas, with over 15% foreign-born population, is the only state to directly track convictions by immigration status. Over 2011-2018, undocumented immigrants were about half as likely as native-born Americans, and legal immigrants were about 80% less likely than native-born Americans, to have been convicted of a crime.
For 2017 in Texas, according to one analysis, the conviction rate for 100,000 Texans of different groups was 1,702 for natives, 899 for illegal immigrants, and 599 for legal immigrants. Thus, illegal immigrants were over 47%, and legal immigrants 65% less likely to be convicted of a crime than native-born Americans.
For homicides in 2017, conviction rates for illegal and legal immigrants were 29% and 57% below those of natives. Ann might argue that conviction rates are artificially low, since the undocumented are often deported before conviction. But the arrest rate for illegal immigrants was 45% below, and legal immigrants 58% below, that of native-born Americans.
Coulter was talking of sex crimes. The same analysis showed the 2017 sex-crime conviction rate for illegal immigrants was about 14% below the rate for native-born Americans and the sex-crime conviction rate for legal immigrants was 60% below that of natives.
Going beyond Texas, a meta-analysis of 51 studies from 1994-2014 on the relationship between immigration and crime in the United States found that immigration reduces crime, although the relationship was very weak.
Contrary to Trump’s 2020 campaign’s race-baiting hysteria, immigrants do not disproportionately commit crimes; they are more law abiding than the native-born Americans.
So why the racism and hate? Catering to the worst in human nature. And, deflection: as the Wizard said to Dorothy, “Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain.”
Jed Somit is a resident of Kapaa.